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Estudiante del MIT: Historia de la IA. - Contenido educativo

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Subido el 3 de febrero de 2024 por Rafael M.

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Presentación sobre la historia de la IA y su futuro a cargo de estudiante del Instituto Tecnológico de Massachusetts (MIT, Massachusetts Institute of Technology). Programa MIT Global Teaching Labs. IES Gran Capitán.

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Okay, we have about 15 minutes, so I'm going to go through this more quickly, but I just 00:00:00
want to talk a little bit more about the history of AI, because that's the hot topic these 00:00:10
days, and I think we should all learn a little bit more about what it is instead of using 00:00:15
it as a buzzword. 00:00:19
Cool. 00:00:21
All right, so what is AI, right? 00:00:23
All right, AI is just a machine, like the intelligence of machines or programs. 00:00:24
So that sounds simple, but let's unpack that, right? 00:00:31
So there's multiple types of AI. 00:00:36
There's narrow AI, and there's general AI. 00:00:37
So narrow AI is you specialize in a specific topic, and general AI is you can learn to 00:00:40
do and solve any problems, just like a human. 00:00:50
So here are some examples of AI, self-driving, go-playing or chess-playing board games, and 00:00:54
finally, robots that can walk and run, just like humans. 00:01:04
Okay, great. 00:01:10
So I'm going to skip some of this, because this is some technicalities, but basically, 00:01:11
the precursors of AI is how do we formalize human thoughts? 00:01:16
How do we formalize? 00:01:22
Human thought in a mathematical way, and so there are many theorems that came up in 00:01:24
the 1930s that formalized the math of human thought, and in 1945, we got the first computer 00:01:29
that was programmable and electronic and digital, so it was this big. 00:01:41
So think like this whole classroom, that's how big it was, and you had many people who 00:01:46
had to operate this machine in 1945. 00:01:51
Great. 00:01:54
So now let's talk about some of the fundamentals of AI. 00:01:55
So people started talking about how we can create an artificial brain, and so there's 00:02:01
a Turing test. 00:02:08
Maybe you've heard of this, but this is just something, a test that can tell if a computer 00:02:09
can say intelligent things like a human. 00:02:15
And so we also got some really cool programs. 00:02:23
Like the first neural network machine built by Marvin Minsky, a MIT professor for a long 00:02:24
time, and some other programs of AI, for example, logic theorists that proved many math theorems, 00:02:33
which is kind of insane to think about back in the 50s. 00:02:40
Great. 00:02:46
So this is where it all started. 00:02:47
The birth of AI. 00:02:48
1956, the Dartmouth workshop. 00:02:49
Dartmouth is a university in the United States. 00:02:51
This is where AI got its name, got its first success, and these ten folks were some of 00:02:53
the people who attended, and they became famous for their contributions to AI. 00:03:01
We saw earlier Marvin Minsky, and Cloud Shannon is also very famous for his contributions. 00:03:06
And everyone is, but those are the two that I personally know the most because they're 00:03:14
from MIT. 00:03:18
Great. 00:03:19
Thank you. 00:03:20
Thank you. 00:03:21
Great. 00:03:22
So in this time range, we had many advances. 00:03:23
So computers were able to solve algebra problems, geometry problems, learn English, just some 00:03:28
crazy things that were going on. 00:03:35
And so a lot of these universities like MIT, CMU Stanford, they received millions of dollars 00:03:37
from the government to research. 00:03:43
And so we were thinking, or not we, they were thinking that in 20 years, we would have a 00:03:46
computer as smart as a human. 00:03:51
And so, yeah. 00:03:53
Like, DARPA was just feeding money to these universities. 00:03:54
And so maybe not to get too complicated here, but back in the 50s, the AI was more about 00:04:01
searching. 00:04:09
So you have some big space of possible choices or possible solutions, and you have to search 00:04:10
and you have to search it to find the best one. 00:04:19
And we also got the first kinds of neural networks, 00:04:26
if you've heard of that. 00:04:30
Those are the most popular type of AI today. 00:04:30
And so we had very small neural networks, 00:04:34
very simple ones, back in the 50s. 00:04:38
This is where it all started. 00:04:40
And we also got the first chatbot created by, 00:04:43
yes, another guy from MIT. 00:04:46
It was created to be some sort of psychotherapist, 00:04:47
in some sense. 00:04:54
So let's look a little bit more at the text here. 00:04:55
I'll leave this later, but just read it briefly. 00:05:00
And it's quite impressive to me, 00:05:05
this chatbot that was made 50 years ago. 00:05:08
It's giving some very human-like responses. 00:05:12
Okay. 00:05:16
So, all right. 00:05:17
Of course, we did not make the general AI in 20 years. 00:05:21
Instead, we got the first AI winter. 00:05:25
So there were some fundamental barriers 00:05:28
to actually implement AI. 00:05:32
So, for example, there's something called 00:05:35
combinatorial explosion. 00:05:37
That's just a bunch of fancy words that really means 00:05:38
when your problem becomes complicated, 00:05:41
the solution space becomes, 00:05:45
really, really big. 00:05:47
And so another problem was the computers in the 50s, 00:05:54
70s, excuse me, were terrible. 00:05:57
Like, look at the Cray 2 supercomputer, 00:05:59
super computer, back in 1985. 00:06:02
And look at an Apple iPhone 6 smartphone. 00:06:05
The comparison is astounding. 00:06:08
Our Apple iPhone 6 is hundreds of times better 00:06:10
than this super computer back in 1985. 00:06:13
And finally, most programs in the 70s 00:06:17
didn't have common sense. 00:06:22
So they didn't understand the things that a baby human would, 00:06:24
like, how do you throw a ball? 00:06:30
How do you look at digits? 00:06:33
They just did not have common sense. 00:06:34
So, of course, everyone lost their funding. 00:06:39
The government said, you guys are not doing well. 00:06:41
And so, unfortunately, also, you know, 00:06:44
the networks, the research there and funding there 00:06:47
also got cut off because Marvin Minsky, 00:06:50
same guy from earlier, and another person named Poppert, 00:06:54
both MIT folks, they published a book that said, 00:06:57
hey, neural networks don't work. 00:07:00
And so they basically just, yeah, it was bad. 00:07:02
And so now after the first decline, the first winter, 00:07:06
we had actually an AI boom. 00:07:13
So thankfully, things recovered in the 80s. 00:07:15
And so there's these things called expert systems. 00:07:17
So people started working on expert systems 00:07:23
where instead of trying to solve all of AI, 00:07:26
they started working on narrow AI, 00:07:29
just solving a very small portion of AI problems. 00:07:31
And so an expert system would become an expert 00:07:34
on a small topic. 00:07:36
And then other people, not experts, 00:07:38
could ask the expert system, how do I do this? 00:07:40
Can you help me do this, right? 00:07:44
Kind of like ChatGPT, 00:07:45
but just for a very small dominion. 00:07:47
So like just about pasta or just about making pizza 00:07:50
instead of the whole world. 00:07:53
So then knowledge became the primary focus of research. 00:08:00
How can we gather information 00:08:06
and how can a robot synthesize information and understand it? 00:08:09
And of course, funding came back. 00:08:15
So Japan started first, and then the United Kingdom 00:08:17
and the US followed with millions of dollars of funding. 00:08:20
Also, neural networks, they came back 00:08:25
because a very smart physicist demonstrated 00:08:28
that neural networks can actually work. 00:08:31
They can converge. 00:08:34
And they can, another very important computer scientist, 00:08:35
Hinton and Rumelhart, they popularized something 00:08:39
called back propagation that is today still one of the most popular ways to do this. 00:08:43
The most popular way for the world to train AI. 00:08:47
And of course that didn't last too long. 00:08:51
Another second winter came, unfortunately. 00:08:53
What happened was there was a collapse in the market 00:08:56
for specialized AI hardware, 00:09:01
because Apple and IBM, they started selling computers 00:09:03
that beat the AI machines. 00:09:07
So if you remember in 1987, 00:09:11
that was when the Apple II personal computer was released. 00:09:13
And that was a huge big deal. 00:09:16
revolution and the personal computing space and also AI expert systems they work sometimes but 00:09:17
usually they stop working after you push them to their limits and so this is the Apple computer 00:09:26
Apple too and so the United States government said we don't like AI anymore we're going to 00:09:32
take your money and put it elsewhere and so also a lot of AI companies they lost they lost their 00:09:41
funding they closed or they were sold to other companies now something bright that came out of 00:09:49
this was people realized maybe there's actually we're doing this the wrong way maybe instead of 00:09:56
thinking about how smart a human is we should think about how good a human as as understanding 00:10:02
the world so instead of building brains we should 00:10:08
you know we should think about how smart a human is we should think about how good a human is 00:10:10
build bodies so some smart researchers thought that okay instead of building the brain of the 00:10:11
machine let's just build a machine that can learn how to perceive the world instead of just looking 00:10:20
at words but instead of thinking about how do I hold a tennis racket how do I look at the room 00:10:26
and understand that I'm in a room so basically advanced robotics cool 00:10:33
all right now narrow AI started having some success in the 90s and the early 2000s for 00:10:41
example Deep Blue it beat the chess champion Garry Kasparov in 1997 a very famous example 00:10:47
of machine beating human also some successes in autonomous driving some robots from Stanford and 00:10:55
CMU navigated a car with no driver in the early 2000s for hundreds of millions of dollars and 00:11:04
kilometers and also if you know the quiz show trivia show jeopardy IBM Watson was able to beat 00:11:11
the two best human champions of all time by $50,000 in 2011 of course these successes were not because 00:11:21
humans made better algorithms it was actually because computers just got way better so there's 00:11:33
something called Moore's law where there was a 00:11:38
tremendous uh pattern of increase in computer capacity in these uh in these years this is an 00:11:40
example of Moore's law you can take a look at it later but it just shows you that progress 00:11:52
was tremendous it was exponentially good and so the AI had at this point AI had resolved many 00:11:57
problems but it was still not considered uh a fun area because AI had two winters and so people 00:12:10
didn't want to say that they were working at AI but its applications were all across the industries 00:12:22
so basically AI very useful but nobody wants to call the work AI because it was not the cool topic 00:12:32
it was the weird topic 00:12:39
very different from now right okay now very recently you might remember the big data 00:12:40
bubble or the hype basically big data is you have a lot of data and you need very big computers to 00:12:49
work with a lot of data and we can do that because we have cheap computers lots of computers and lots 00:12:55
of data so also we had some Advances in deep learning 00:13:01
where we got some really uh crazy deep uh deep learning algorithms and also had the compute 00:13:10
capacity to actually use them to solve problems like identify cats and dogs or identify what kind 00:13:20
of object where the object is in an image great so let's talk about the present 2017 00:13:27
our transformer 00:13:39
um that was so we had this thing called GPT-3 that's the precursor of the um that's a big 00:13:40
it's a large language model that was based on the transformer architecture and GPT-3 you see GPT 00:13:52
well yeah chat GPT was based on GPT 3.5 um and that was launched in 2022 00:13:59
and also uh now 00:14:09
Microsoft is working on GPT-4 which is supposed to be even better and there are some chat GPT 00:14:10
versions based on GPT-4 but you have to pay money to see them cool so um this is a small 00:14:16
demonstration of some current research in AI some really smart Stanford researchers they made a 00:14:25
robot that can cook food for you um to be fair this one is controlled by the human but their robot also 00:14:30
cooks stuff on its own too autonomously um but yeah it's just cooking some uh Cantonese food 00:14:39
um I don't know if it's any good or not but I'd be down to try it but we can skip it um 00:14:46
all right cool all right okay let's talk about AI ethics right this is important because when you do 00:14:53
you need to make sure that you are not harming people all right how do we 00:14:59
eliminate bias in science examples Amazon tried to once use a AI system to 00:15:04
recruit people and try to interview people and it's not using it why because 00:15:11
the algorithm only chose men because mostly men work at Amazon so it assumed 00:15:18
that all the best engineers are men which is obviously not true right 00:15:23
another problem facial detection it had more data from white men and less data 00:15:26
from darker woman so therefore it was worse on detecting darker woman so it's 00:15:33
you know this is not okay right we need to have a unbiased system for 00:15:38
classifying or detecting things another problem is job loss AI can do a lot of 00:15:44
things that humans can do 00:15:55
you 00:15:56
better faster and people might lose jobs and so we need to make sure that people 00:15:56
are able to still be able to make enough money to live if their job gets taken 00:16:02
away or have an alternative job that they can do instead and finally this is 00:16:09
a little bit far out there I don't think it's going to happen but some people do 00:16:15
existential risk what if we make an AI that's so smart 00:16:17
you can't stop it and it like kills all humans right that I don't ask what 00:16:22
happened but hey I didn't say that all right so finally I like to show a 00:16:26
timeline you can click on this link when I share the position afterwards and look 00:16:34
at some of the advances that we've talked about and yeah so that was a 00:16:38
little bit of an intro thank you again for listening and once again my email 00:16:44
and any questions I'd be happy to take thank you 00:16:47
you 00:16:51
you 00:16:53
Idioma/s:
en
Idioma/s subtítulos:
en
Autor/es:
Rafael M
Subido por:
Rafael M.
Licencia:
Reconocimiento - No comercial
Visualizaciones:
32
Fecha:
3 de febrero de 2024 - 10:27
Visibilidad:
Público
Enlace Relacionado:
https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1Nv7phRAF5OQ5snWBEGHACJ8AW5SEEyUgDeFYYD-rcEU/edit?usp=drive_link
Centro:
IES GRAN CAPITAN
Descripción ampliada:
Historia IA
Duración:
16′ 59″
Relación de aspecto:
1.78:1
Resolución:
1280x720 píxeles
Tamaño:
492.61 MBytes

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