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2º ESO/OVERPOPULATION - Contenido educativo
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Never before in history have there been so many people on Earth as right now.
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Our numbers have skyrocketed from 1 billion in 1800 to 2.3 billion in 1940,
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3.7 billion in 1970 and 7.4 billion in 2016.
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The world population increased fourfold in the last century,
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so what can we expect for the next century?
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And what does population growth mean for our future?
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Will there be mass migration, overcrowded slums in megacities covering continents, diseases and pollution, chaos and violence over energy, water and food, and a human species focused only on sustaining itself?
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Will population growth destroy our way of life, or is this prophecy just ungrounded panic?
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In the 1960s, population growth reached an unprecedented rate, which led to apocalyptic prophecies.
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The poor would procreate endlessly and overrun the developed world.
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The legend of overpopulation was born.
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But it turns out high birth rates and the population explosion are not permanent features of some cultures or countries,
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but rather part of a four-step process the whole world is going through, the demographic transition.
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Most developed countries have already made the transition, while other countries are doing it right now.
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Let's go back to the 18th century, when the entire world, including Europe, was in the first stage of the demographic transition.
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By today's standards, Europe was worse off than a developing region, suffering from poor sanitation, poor diets and poor medicine.
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A lot of people were born, but lots of them died just as fast, so the population hardly grew.
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Women had between four and six children, but only two of them would reach adulthood.
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Then the Industrial Revolution happened in the UK
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and brought the greatest change in human living conditions since the Agricultural Revolution.
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People went from being peasants to workers.
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Manufactured goods were mass-produced and became widely available.
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The sciences flourished and advanced transportation, communication and medicine.
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The role of women in society shifted and created the conditions for their emancipation.
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Slowly, this economic progress not only formed a middle class,
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but also raised standards of living and healthcare for the poor working population.
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The second transition stage started.
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Better food supplies, hygiene and medicine meant people stopped dying all the time,
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especially so at a very young age.
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The result was a population explosion, doubling the UK's population between 1750 and 1850.
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The main reason families used to have lots of children was that only a few of them were likely to survive.
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Now that had changed, so the third stage of the transition was set in motion,
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fewer babies were conceived, and population growth slowed down.
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Eventually, a balance emerged.
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Fewer people were dying and fewer children were born, so the death rate and birth rate became stable.
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Britain had reached the fourth stage of the demographic transition.
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This didn't only happen in the UK. More and more countries went through the four stages.
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First, many births and many deaths due to bad living conditions.
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Second, better living conditions leading to fewer deaths and a population explosion.
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Third, fewer deaths resulting in fewer births and population growth came to an end.
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But if birth rates have dropped so much, why is the population still growing so fast?
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Well, the children born in the population explosion of the 70s and 80s are having kids themselves now,
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leading to a noticeable spike in overall population.
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But they are having far fewer children on average than their parents.
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The average today is 2.5. It was 5 40 years ago.
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So as this generation gets older and fertility declines further, the rate of population growth will keep on slowing.
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This is true for every country. In the West, we tend to overlook progress in other regions of the world.
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But actually, most of the world's countries have made it to the fourth stage.
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Just look at Bangladesh. In 1971, the average woman had 7 kids, but 25% of them would die before the age of 5.
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In 2015, the mortality rate was down to 3.8% and women had only 2.2 kids on average.
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This is the rule, not an exception.
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We're not special. We just had a head start.
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It took developed countries about 80 years to reduce fertility from more than six children to less than three.
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Others are catching up fast.
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Malaysia and South Africa did it in only 34 years.
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Bangladesh took just 20.
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Iran managed it in 10 years.
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All these countries that are catching up didn't have to start from scratch,
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and the more support they get, the faster they catch up.
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This is why programs that help lower child mortality or help poor nations develop are so important.
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No matter what your motivation is, whether you dream of a world where all people live in freedom and wealth,
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or you just want fewer refugees coming to your country,
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the simple truth is that it's beneficial to you personally if people on the other side of the globe can live a good life.
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And we are getting there. The percentage of people living in extreme poverty has never been as low as today.
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So the future of global population growth is actually not an apocalyptic prophecy at all.
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It's a promise. Population growth will come to an end.
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The UN forecasts that the 12th billionth human will never be born at all.
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And as the development level of the world rises, the number of people with a higher education will increase tenfold.
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Countries who used to be in need will help advance development instead.
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more people is going to mean more people able to advance our species
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this video was a collaboration with max rosa and our world in data
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where he explores the progress of humanity through research and data visualization
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make sure to check it out in 2016 we were able to make more and better content than ever before
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because of your support on patreon.com thank you so much and we'll be back in the year 12 017.
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- Subido por:
- Alicia M.
- Licencia:
- Dominio público
- Visualizaciones:
- 152
- Fecha:
- 10 de abril de 2021 - 17:37
- Visibilidad:
- Público
- Centro:
- IES LA SENDA
- Duración:
- 06′ 39″
- Relación de aspecto:
- 1.78:1
- Resolución:
- 640x360 píxeles
- Tamaño:
- 19.36 MBytes