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2º ESO/THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION MODEL - Contenido educativo
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Good morning, evening, afternoon, night, whenever you're watching this, geographers,
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welcome to the Mr. Sin channel. Today's a big day. We're going to be talking about Unit 2,
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Topic 5. We're going to be going into the Demographic Transition Model,
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and at the end of this video, we're going to be talking about the Epidemiological Transition
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Model. These models are really important, not just for this unit, but for the rest of the class.
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Now, before we dive into these really important concepts, I want to mention my Ultimate Review
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packet. I get emails all the time from students asking how they can study better for AP Human
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Geography. And my Ultimate Review Packet is a great tool for you to use. It comes with videos
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that'll talk about how to do better on FRQ tests, how to do better on multiple choice, how to study,
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how to look at some of the themes. It also has summary videos for all of the different units in
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this class, along with practice quizzes, study guides, answer keys, and two full practice AP
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tests. And that's just getting started with it. So if you're interested in that, check it out.
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The link is in the description below now the demographic transition model is broken into different stages each stage looks at different
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Economic and social developments that happen in a society now the first stage of the model is actually where the majority of human history has
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Happened so far it's defined by low growth
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We can actually see that our births here are really high remember back to our last video where we were talking about
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CDR CBR and I are all those concepts come back in this model and we can see that our births are high and our deaths
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are also high. Notice too, when we're looking at the model, they actually are essentially the same.
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So our growth rate then is actually pretty low, hence low growth. It's being canceled out. And
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the reason why so many people are dying is we don't have medicine yet. People are dying to
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animal attacks, diseases, you name it, it's killing people. Quite frankly, it's a pretty
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depressing time to be alive. Now, I do want to stress that all countries today have actually
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moved on from stage one. There are no countries anymore that are in stage one. Now, an example of
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Modern-day society not a country that is in stage one would be the sentinese people
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They're actually living on an island off the coast of india. They have no connection to the outside world in fact
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It's actually legal to go visit them
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Because they've been isolated for so long that the diseases we have would end up killing the population now countries move from stage one to
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Stage two when either the industrial revolution happens or the medical revolution
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Regions like europe and north america were the first to experience stage two thanks to the industrial revolution
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Followed by Africa, Asia, and Latin America, thanks to the medical revolution.
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Now stage two is defined by high growth.
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When countries enter stage two, they keep their high birth rate.
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We see that they're still having a lot of babies, that's similar to stage one.
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However though, their CDR, their crude death rate, is going down now.
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The reason why is because of the advancements made in the industrial
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revolution with now food surplus, more efficient production, and
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also the medical revolution where now people are living longer and our infant mortality rate is
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decreasing. So our births are high and our deaths are now decreasing. And this leads to a population
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boom. You can see that we have a gap. Our births are a lot higher now than our deaths. This leads
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to our population to start taking off. This is when like Thomas Malthus, for example, looked at
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what was happening and said, hey, we're going to have a big issue here. He believed that this would
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just continue. And the demographic transition model actually shows us that no, he was wrong.
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At the time, he was in stage two and he didn't see what was going to happen next. Today, we could
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look at Afghanistan as a great example of actually being a stage two country. Now, eventually, we
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start to see society change. We start to see more urbanization. We start to see people realize, hey,
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stage two people, we're having a lot of births and everyone's living. Our kids aren't dying anymore.
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All of a sudden, now we have some pretty big families. And so we start to see a culture shift.
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And that's when countries started to enter stage three.
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For stage three, what we're looking at here is moderate growth.
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In stage three, women start gaining more opportunities in society.
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Women are going to school.
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They're pursuing jobs, careers.
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And this reduces the amount of time that they have to have families.
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So our TFR, remember, total fertility rate from the last video, starts to decrease now.
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Now our family sizes are going down.
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That with more urbanization, which means the advantages of having large families go away,
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continue to push that down.
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So we can see that our births now and deaths
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are getting closer.
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We still have a positive NIR where we're growing
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as a society, but the growth has slowed
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as now we're becoming more economically developed,
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but we're also seeing a lot more social opportunities
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for everyone in society, reducing the amount of time
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they have for large families.
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Mexico today would be a great example of a country
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that has now moved from stage two to stage three
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as their population growth starts to slow
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and they're gaining more medical advancements,
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which are allowing people to live longer,
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and we're also seeing more opportunities for citizens,
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which are making it so we're starting
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to see less large families.
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Now, as countries continue to develop and urbanize,
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and they continue to eliminate gender inequality,
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we start to see them transition into stage four.
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Here's now where our birth rate and our death rate,
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our CBR and CDR, are essentially the same again.
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And this is when a country experiences ZPG.
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This is zero population growth.
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Essentially, we've stabilized now.
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Our NIR is no longer really growing.
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We're keeping at our status quo.
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So our population is staying the same here.
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Now women have lots of opportunities in society.
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People are now pursuing higher education.
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And after they graduate college,
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they might get a master's degree.
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And from there, a doctorate.
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And then they have their careers.
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So the amount of time people have for kids
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is significantly reduced.
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We start to see the average time that people get married
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also get pushed back,
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as now there's other things in life that they're doing.
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And on top of all that,
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we continue to see more advancements in medicine,
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which are allowing people to live longer and longer,
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which again is going to reduce that family size
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because that IMR, our infant mortality rate,
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keeps going down.
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Today we can look at the United States and China
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as great examples of a stage four country.
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Now the fifth stage is one
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that was not originally in the model,
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and some people actually put the fifth stage with the fourth,
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but this stage is defined by negative growth.
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Essentially what's happening now
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is society has become so developed
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and the culture has shifted so much
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that people's family size is now below
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that replacement rate, that average TFR of 2.1.
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So we're now seeing that our births
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are lower than our death rate.
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So society now is starting to decrease in population size.
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Now there could be other factors as well.
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There's a variety of different reasons
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why this might happen.
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It could be that family sizes are small
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because of cultural preferences, because of the government,
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because of urbanization and economic factors,
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or because now so many people have opportunities in society
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that they don't wanna have as large of families
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and they would rather be working or traveling
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or doing other things with their lives.
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An example for a possible stage five country could be Japan
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where the population now has actually aged
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and the majority of people
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are in those post reproductive years.
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And the average family size
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has dipped below that replacement rate.
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And so now they're starting to see
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that they're gonna have an issue
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because they're not having enough people being born
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to replace their current population.
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All right, so those are the main concepts
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that you need to know for the demographic transition model.
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And if you need more help with it,
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check out some of my other videos on the channel that go more in depth into that model. But now
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we're going to shift gears and talk about the epidemiologic transition model. This one looks
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at disease and death. Stage one is defined by pestilence and famine, and here unfortunately
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you're going to die to a lot of things. It's not a great time to be alive. It connects pretty
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closely to our stage one of the demographic transition model. Here you're going to see
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that we have parasitic diseases and infectious diseases that spread across the land. We're also
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to see people dying to animal attacks running out of food or just from drinking water that's tainted
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we could also see that pandemics and epidemics will impact large swaths of geographic areas and
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here your cdr is going to be extremely high an example actually we could look at would be the
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bubonic plague that would fit in stage one of this model now if you're lucky enough to make it out of
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stage one and move into stage two you're going to see that the pandemics start to recede they pull
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back. We're now seeing advancements in medicine and technology. Remember, stage two of that
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demographic transition model is when the industrial revolution and that medical revolution occur.
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And this allows our life expectancy to go up, our infant mortality rate to go down. And now we're
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getting better at medicine, we're getting new technology, and we're having more access to food.
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So some of the things that were killing us before are no longer impacting us. However, we're also
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starting to see more urbanization. And because of that, we're seeing people now living closer
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together. So we still see that infectious diseases can be a problem, as things can spread throughout
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now these very densely populated areas. And while sanitation was improving, it still wasn't that
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great. Now when countries get to stage three of this model, they deal more with degenerative
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diseases. No longer are they as impacted by infectious diseases. And the reason why is
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because we're living so long. Now we have more advancements in medicine and technology, which
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increases our life expectancy. So now people are dealing more with cancer, heart attacks,
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strokes, diabetes. Some of these are actually kind of human created because of our diet. Society has
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gained so many options for food and also allows for a more sedentary lifestyle that we start to
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see people's health actually be negatively impacted. And before we wouldn't see the impacts
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of this because people didn't live long enough. Today, if we look at a map of the world and we're
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looking at cancer rates, we can see some parts of the world have very low numbers. It's not that
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they solved or cured cancer. No, it's they haven't gotten to stage three yet. Their life expectancy
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isn't that high, so they're not dealing with some of these degenerative diseases yet. Now, when a
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country gets to stage four, the focus is on delaying degenerative diseases. Here, we're trying to cure
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cancer. We're doing transplants. We're focusing on our lifestyles and how we can live better and
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healthier lives. Sanitation becomes a big focus. Exercising, reducing the amount of tobacco that's
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used in society.
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All these things help us live longer
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and this is where medicine continues to improve
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as we keep trying to push that life expectancy up
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and those degenerative diseases back.
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Now one risk that happens here too
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and it's similar to stage three
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is because our society is so developed now,
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more people become sedentary
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and so we start to see issues with obesity
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and that also has to do with junk food and fast food
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are very prevalent during this time of society.
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So it makes it easy to eat unhealthy.
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Now the last stage is stage five, and this stage is defined by the reemergence of infectious
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diseases.
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This stage doesn't go as well with the demographic transition model, but it's a really important
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one to understand.
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Here we see that parasitic and infectious diseases make a return, and this happens for
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a variety of reasons.
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The first reason is that diseases will start to have a resistance to antibiotics.
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Over time, diseases evolve, and as we continue to use medicine and other environmental threats,
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they continue to change.
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And eventually we could run into things like superbugs, where things like penicillin may
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no longer be as effective as they once were, and that's when we would have some pretty
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big issues.
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Another reason we could see stage 5 occur is due to increased urbanization.
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As our cities become larger and larger, they become more densely populated.
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And as we have more and more people living together, there's a higher chance of diseases
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spreading throughout.
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And especially when we look at poverty as well.
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If we have low-income communities that are tightly packed together, they probably have
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less access to health care and other medicines that they may need, and so a disease could
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quickly spread throughout a neighborhood, especially when you have multiple generations
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of family living in one home.
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That could create problems and could also then see the reemergence of these infectious
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diseases.
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Our last cause could be actually globalization.
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Today, the world's connected in ways that we've never been connected before, and this
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leads to people interacting with people all over the world.
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When we get on airplanes and boats, when we drive our cars, we're interacting with different
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geographic places. And sometimes we might be exposed to different diseases that our bodies
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aren't used to. Then when we go back home, we spread it throughout our community. A perfect
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example of this could actually be COVID-19. COVID-19 spread quickly in densely populated
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areas. And it spread also through international travel and trade, globalization, as it went to
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the major cities around the world. It also impacts people at a lower income more because they have
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less access to health care services and they're also living in closely packed areas which allows
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the disease to spread quickly throughout all right that's it for this video now this is really
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important i know i say this in all the other videos but you need to do these practice questions
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you can see them on the screen right now these two models are extremely important for you to
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understand so practice what we just went over i covered a ton of stuff in this video and when
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you're done make sure to check your answers in the comment section below and if you're still
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struggling a little bit check out my ultimate review packet for more resources and help on
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all these concepts in ap thank you so much for spending time with me today and learning about
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the demographic transition and the epidemiologic transition model i'm mr sin and until next time
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geographers i'll see you online hey hanging out with the end cards i see thank you so much again
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for watching the video by the way if you want more mr sin content don't forget to check me out
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on Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram.
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You can find the links in the description below.
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Thanks again for watching, geographers,
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and good luck with your studies.
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All right, I'm gonna go film 2.6 now,
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so you guys have a great day.
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- Subido por:
- Alicia M.
- Licencia:
- Dominio público
- Visualizaciones:
- 23
- Fecha:
- 10 de abril de 2021 - 17:17
- Visibilidad:
- Público
- Centro:
- IES LA SENDA
- Duración:
- 13′ 11″
- Relación de aspecto:
- 1.78:1
- Resolución:
- 1920x1080 píxeles
- Tamaño:
- 351.97 MBytes